Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.69 – 175.55

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

336 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 215.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.9 ±12

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX -22.97Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -29.89Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 158.55Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 666.4 ±9.9

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX -32.63Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 70.86Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 137.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10138, 6690, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10138, 6690, 125

Auto

32.6 31%

Teleop

48.9 46%

Endgame

25.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11269, 166, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11269, 166, 195

Auto

26.5 15%

Teleop

111.0 64%

Endgame

35.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.7pts

Blue projected score175.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.9
Score range: 70–212
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 712 vs event baseline 198.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.9Season APEX666.4

32.6Auto26.5

48.9Teleop111

25.1Endgame35.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	19
teleop	181	220
endgame	87	137
foul	0	0
total	336	376

Result

Final score

336 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 215.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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