Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.3 – 121.19

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±11.7

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 118.94Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 10.51Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 154.85Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.9 ±12

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 37.22Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1247Blood, Sweat, and Gears

Season APEX 11Event APEX 42.22Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 41.75Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2523, 11175, 95

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2523, 11175, 95

Auto

29.8 11%

Teleop

173.8 62%

Endgame

76.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9056, 1247, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 1247, 4909

Auto

15.1 13%

Teleop

70.5 61%

Endgame

29.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score284.3pts

Blue projected score121.2pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163.1
Score range: 87–318
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 190.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

352.2Season APEX240.9

29.8Auto15.1

173.8Teleop70.5

76.4Endgame29.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	15
teleop	158	40
endgame	63	7
foul	0	0
total	270	62

Result

Final score

270 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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