Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

534.32 – 580.61

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

539 – 622

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 713 ±9.3

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 45.85Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 247.9Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 240.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 799.3 ±8.8

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 260.34Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 20.2Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 300.07Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11175, 195, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

534.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11175, 195, 5687

Auto

140.1 27%

Teleop

292.6 55%

Endgame

95.5 18%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 125, 8708, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

580.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 8708, 6329

Auto

128.0 22%

Teleop

320.0 55%

Endgame

131.1 23%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score534.3pts

Blue projected score580.6pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.3
Score range: 490–625
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1161 vs event baseline 243.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

713Season APEX799.3

140.1Auto128

292.6Teleop320

95.5Endgame131.1

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	152	124
teleop	315	292
endgame	72	171
foul	0	35
total	539	622

Result

Final score

539 – 622

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Match videos

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