FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.67 – 57.26

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.4 ±11

977Cometbots

Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 13.7Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8592Newton Squared

Season APEX 135.8Event APEX 25.01Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10004SCAROB (Star City Area Robotics)

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 22.96Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.4 ±12.2

339Kilroy Robotics

Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 16.96Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9709Isotope Robotics

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 6.87Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 33.43Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 977, 8592, 10004

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 977, 8592, 10004

Auto

15.8 25%

Teleop

39.0 63%

Endgame

7.5 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 339, 9709, 1599

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 339, 9709, 1599

Auto

5.4 10%

Teleop

34.7 65%

Endgame

13.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.7pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.4
Score range: 39–80
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 100.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.4Season APEX184.4

15.8Auto5.4

39Teleop34.7

7.5Endgame13

82Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	10
teleop	30	24
endgame	19	5
foul	5	5
total	74	44

Result

Final score

74 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 12.8 pts

Match videos

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