FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

241.42 – 71.45

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.1 ±9.3

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 106.06Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5724Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 17.13Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 118.23Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.1 ±12.2

3361Governators

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 29.32Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX 8.52Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

404⚒️ 404 ART Not Found ⚒️

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 33.61Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 619, 5724, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

241.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 619, 5724, 2106

Auto

41.3 18%

Teleop

136.0 59%

Endgame

54.2 23%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3361, 1915, 404

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3361, 1915, 404

Auto

11.1 16%

Teleop

43.2 61%

Endgame

16.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score241.4pts

Blue projected score71.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170
Score range: 53–259
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 97.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.1Season APEX150.1

41.3Auto11.1

136Teleop43.2

54.2Endgame16.5

23Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	17
teleop	191	30
endgame	69	31
foul	0	0
total	334	78

Result

Final score

334 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 49.6 pts

Match videos

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