Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
29.59 – 45.55
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 71.9 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 1.5Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 17.8Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129.5Event APEX 10.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 30.8Event APEX -0.29Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 35.55Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 10.29Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5804, 10257, 10224
47
/ 100 compatProjected
29.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5804, 10257, 10224
Auto
7.4 23%
Teleop
18.6 59%
Endgame
5.5 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9214, 619, 404
52
/ 100 compatProjected
45.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9214, 619, 404
Auto
3.0 6%
Teleop
30.7 64%
Endgame
14.5 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score29.6pts
Blue projected score45.6pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -16
- Score range
- 19–57
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
306.7Season APEX297.5
7.4Auto3
18.6Teleop30.7
5.5Endgame14.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 9 |
| teleop | 40 | 85 |
| endgame | 16 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 73 | 146 |
Result
Final score
73 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 71.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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