Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
63.91 – 102.02
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
68 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 34.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.8 ±9.3
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 28.66Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 14.96Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 20.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 27.71Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 54.02Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 20.29Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1086, 540, 346
65
/ 100 compatProjected
63.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1086, 540, 346
Auto
9.5 14%
Teleop
34.3 51%
Endgame
23.8 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2998, 6802, 339
86
/ 100 compatProjected
102 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2998, 6802, 339
Auto
12.8 13%
Teleop
54.5 55%
Endgame
32.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score63.9pts
Blue projected score102pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -38.1
- Score range
- 52–114
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
622.8Season APEX136.6
9.5Auto12.8
34.3Teleop54.5
23.8Endgame32.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 2 | 5 |
| teleop | 52 | 6 |
| endgame | 14 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 68 | 37 |
Result
Final score
68 – 37
Prediction missed · off by 34.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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