FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.99 – 82.71

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

53 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.2 ±12.8

10224MAV MECHANICS (NASA)

Season APEX 129.5Event APEX 27.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10257Vector Space

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 3.92Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9709Isotope Robotics

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 6.46Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.4 ±10.5

8326Hopper Robotics

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 15.44Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

339Kilroy Robotics

Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 23.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 43.51Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10224, 10257, 9709

/ 100 compat

Projected

38 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10224, 10257, 9709

Auto

10.2 27%

Teleop

23.8 62%

Endgame

4.3 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8326, 339, 540

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8326, 339, 540

Auto

16.7 24%

Teleop

34.1 50%

Endgame

17.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38pts

Blue projected score82.7pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.7
Score range: 20–101
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 104 vs event baseline 98.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239.2Season APEX324.4

10.2Auto16.7

23.8Teleop34.1

4.3Endgame17.6

52Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	20
teleop	16	24
endgame	7	2
foul	15	5
total	53	51

Result

Final score

53 – 51

Prediction missed · off by 23.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.