FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

23.97 – 22.29

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 64.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 89.6 ±13.3

6802Snot Otters

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 19.19Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

617Enginerds

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 0.78Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX 4Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.1 ±12.2

977Cometbots

Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 5.61Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX 0.43Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8592Newton Squared

Season APEX 135.8Event APEX 16.25Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6802, 617, 4286

/ 100 compat

Projected

24 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6802, 617, 4286

Auto

1.0 6%

Teleop

8.4 47%

Endgame

8.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 977, 1915, 8592

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 977, 1915, 8592

Auto

10.1 36%

Teleop

20.5 73%

Endgame

-2.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score24pts

Blue projected score22.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.7
Score range: 4–42
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 98.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

89.6Season APEX259.1

1Auto10.1

8.4Teleop20.5

8.4Endgame-2.5

0Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	23
teleop	22	84
endgame	22	19
foul	0	0
total	50	126

Result

Final score

50 – 126

Prediction missed · off by 64.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.