FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.78 – 170.91

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±12.8

10257Vector Space

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 5.79Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX 2.86Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8592Newton Squared

Season APEX 135.8Event APEX 13.13Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.5 ±9.3

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 53.78Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 67.99Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3939Botetourt 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 49.14Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10257, 4286, 8592

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10257, 4286, 8592

Auto

8.3 44%

Teleop

12.9 69%

Endgame

-2.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 401, 346, 3939

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 401, 346, 3939

Auto

15.4 9%

Teleop

115.3 66%

Endgame

43.4 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.8pts

Blue projected score170.9pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.1
Score range: 5–188
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 94.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.2Season APEX611.5

8.3Auto15.4

12.9Teleop115.3

-2.4Endgame43.4

75Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	30
teleop	36	205
endgame	10	47
foul	0	0
total	68	282

Result

Final score

68 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 78.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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