FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

143.3 – 60.88

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.1 ±10.7

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX 0.78Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 96.61Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 45.91Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133 ±12.7

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 38.25Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1522DOTM - Defenders of the Multiverse

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 13.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 9.55Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1915, 619, 540

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1915, 619, 540

Auto

25.6 18%

Teleop

83.4 58%

Endgame

34.7 24%

Strengths

· 619 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1599, 1522, 2998

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1599, 1522, 2998

Auto

11.5 20%

Teleop

28.2 49%

Endgame

17.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.3pts

Blue projected score60.9pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.4
Score range: 45–159
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 91.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.1Season APEX133

25.6Auto11.5

83.4Teleop28.2

34.7Endgame17.4

34Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	16
teleop	109	17
endgame	40	8
foul	15	0
total	187	41

Result

Final score

187 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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