FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.67 – 124.05

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.5 ±12.2

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 7.74Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10004SCAROB (Star City Area Robotics)

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 16.53Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX -1.6Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.7 ±11.7

10257Vector Space

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 10.97Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

977Cometbots

Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 8.5Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 104.58Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2998, 10004, 1915

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2998, 10004, 1915

Auto

11.4 59%

Teleop

-0.3 0%

Endgame

8.1 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10257, 977, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10257, 977, 2106

Auto

33.4 29%

Teleop

62.6 54%

Endgame

20.7 18%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score22.7pts

Blue projected score124.1pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.4
Score range: 7–140
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 147 vs event baseline 91.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.5Season APEX487.7

11.4Auto33.4

-0.3Teleop62.6

8.1Endgame20.7

21Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	8
teleop	30	77
endgame	2	9
foul	0	0
total	53	94

Result

Final score

53 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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