FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.31 – 68.44

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 74.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 119.8 ±13.3

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX 1.79Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

404⚒️ 404 ART Not Found ⚒️

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 31.55Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1522DOTM - Defenders of the Multiverse

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 11.97Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.9 ±9.3

3361Governators

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 13.91Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 31.95Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 22.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4286, 404, 1522

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4286, 404, 1522

Auto

3.0 10%

Teleop

22.0 72%

Endgame

5.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3361, 540, 401

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3361, 540, 401

Auto

17.8 24%

Teleop

49.9 68%

Endgame

5.8 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.3pts

Blue projected score68.4pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.1
Score range: 29–84
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 87.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

119.8Season APEX472.9

3Auto17.8

22Teleop49.9

5.5Endgame5.8

26Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	36
teleop	30	102
endgame	18	56
foul	0	15
total	54	209

Result

Final score

54 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 74.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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