FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.99 – 43.93

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 646.2 ±9.9

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 46.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 113.95Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

617Enginerds

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 10.09Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.8 ±12.2

9709Isotope Robotics

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 23.92Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3361Governators

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 10.83Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

977Cometbots

Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 9.18Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 346, 2106, 617

/ 100 compat

Projected

171 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 346, 2106, 617

Auto

20.2 12%

Teleop

103.1 64%

Endgame

38.9 24%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9709, 3361, 977

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9709, 3361, 977

Auto

4.2 9%

Teleop

34.2 70%

Endgame

10.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score171pts

Blue projected score43.9pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.1
Score range: 29–186
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 84.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

646.2Season APEX194.8

20.2Auto4.2

103.1Teleop34.2

38.9Endgame10.2

47Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	8
teleop	109	50
endgame	10	8
foul	0	0
total	156	66

Result

Final score

156 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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