FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

75.23 – 59.41

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

107 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.1 ±11.7

5804TORCH

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 28.62Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1915Firebird Robotics

Season APEX 21.8Event APEX 3.52Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 43.09Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.6 ±12.1

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 24.55Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

404⚒️ 404 ART Not Found ⚒️

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 27.01Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 7.85Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5804, 1915, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5804, 1915, 1086

Auto

18.3 28%

Teleop

29.4 45%

Endgame

17.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1599, 404, 2998

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1599, 404, 2998

Auto

7.2 11%

Teleop

37.2 58%

Endgame

19.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.2pts

Blue projected score59.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 44–90
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 83.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.1Season APEX157.6

18.3Auto7.2

29.4Teleop37.2

17.5Endgame19.3

4Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	72	60
endgame	19	17
foul	0	5
total	107	95

Result

Final score

107 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.