FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.92 – 18.58

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

195 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 91.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.4 ±11.2

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 103Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

339Kilroy Robotics

Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 22.84Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX 1.08Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.5 ±10.5

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -6.81Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5804TORCH

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 12.85Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

540TALON 540 Godwin Robotics

Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 12.54Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2106, 339, 4286

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2106, 339, 4286

Auto

23.0 19%

Teleop

66.9 57%

Endgame

28.5 24%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2998, 5804, 540

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2998, 5804, 540

Auto

5.7 31%

Teleop

13.0 70%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.9pts

Blue projected score18.6pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.3
Score range: 5–141
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 79.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.4Season APEX322.5

23Auto5.7

66.9Teleop13

28.5Endgame-0.1

156Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	44
teleop	85	50
endgame	21	29
foul	55	10
total	195	133

Result

Final score

195 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 91.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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