FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.99 – 73.06

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±11

977Cometbots

Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 18.8Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11425Byteforge

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 5.56Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5724Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 39.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±10.4

3939Botetourt 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 13.27Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10224MAV MECHANICS (NASA)

Season APEX 129.5Event APEX 25.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 34.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 977, 11425, 5724

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 977, 11425, 5724

Auto

11.8 18%

Teleop

29.4 45%

Endgame

23.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3939, 10224, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3939, 10224, 1086

Auto

9.1 15%

Teleop

38.1 61%

Endgame

15.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64pts

Blue projected score73.1pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.1
Score range: 50–87
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 77.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.1Season APEX374.5

11.8Auto9.1

29.4Teleop38.1

23.5Endgame15.2

125Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	22
teleop	25	89
endgame	2	33
foul	0	20
total	40	164

Result

Final score

40 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.