FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.44 – 61.22

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.8 ±11.6

11425Byteforge

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 0.58Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8326Hopper Robotics

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 30.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 2.78Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.8 ±9.8

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 13.21Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 21.81Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5724Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 26.2Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11425, 8326, 2998

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11425, 8326, 2998

Auto

13.4 48%

Teleop

16.6 60%

Endgame

-2.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 401, 1086, 5724

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 401, 1086, 5724

Auto

2.9 5%

Teleop

28.7 45%

Endgame

32.0 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.4pts

Blue projected score61.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.8
Score range: 19–75
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 75.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.8Season APEX398.8

13.4Auto2.9

16.6Teleop28.7

-2.2Endgame32

82Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	17
teleop	20	70
endgame	12	46
foul	0	10
total	45	143

Result

Final score

45 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 46.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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