Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
112.62 – 35.32
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
173 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 31 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 560.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 65.87Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 19.56Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 27.19Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 10.38Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX -1.59Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 26.53Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 619, 346, 3072
84
/ 100 compatProjected
112.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 619, 346, 3072
Auto
9.5 8%
Teleop
71.5 61%
Endgame
36.0 31%
Strengths
- · 619 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11425, 617, 10257
47
/ 100 compatProjected
35.3 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 11425, 617, 10257
Auto
10.0 27%
Teleop
14.4 39%
Endgame
13.0 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score112.6pts
Blue projected score35.3pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 77.3
- Score range
- 23–125
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
560.9Season APEX193.9
9.5Auto10
71.5Teleop14.4
36Endgame13
157Consistency133
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 13 |
| teleop | 103 | 11 |
| endgame | 29 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 173 | 37 |
Result
Final score
173 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 31 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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