Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
24.69 – 19.31
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 34 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 13.62Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 16.44Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 21.8Event APEX -5.37Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 12.58Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 210Event APEX -1.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.4Event APEX 8.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3939, 9709, 1915
26
/ 100 compatProjected
24.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3939, 9709, 1915
Auto
2.9 13%
Teleop
19.7 92%
Endgame
-1.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 977, 401, 339
19
/ 100 compatProjected
19.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 977, 401, 339
Auto
2.9 20%
Teleop
0.1 1%
Endgame
11.2 79%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score24.7pts
Blue projected score19.3pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 5.4
- Score range
- 7–37
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
164.8Season APEX396.9
2.9Auto2.9
19.7Teleop0.1
-1.1Endgame11.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 4 |
| teleop | 28 | 50 |
| endgame | 0 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 76 |
Result
Final score
36 – 76
Prediction missed · off by 34 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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