FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.49 – 67.07

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.2 ±12.4

10257Vector Space

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 29.78Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 67.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6802Snot Otters

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 37.97Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.3 ±11.6

3072Backwoods Bots

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 24.16Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11425Byteforge

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 11.09Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

404⚒️ 404 ART Not Found ⚒️

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 31.82Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10257, 619, 6802

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10257, 619, 6802

Auto

18.5 14%

Teleop

79.2 60%

Endgame

34.0 26%

Strengths

· 619 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3072, 11425, 404

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3072, 11425, 404

Auto

11.0 17%

Teleop

38.6 60%

Endgame

15.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.5pts

Blue projected score67.1pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.4
Score range: 55–147
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 67.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.2Season APEX202.3

18.5Auto11

79.2Teleop38.6

34Endgame15.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	53	45
endgame	39	15
foul	0	0
total	109	76

Result

Final score

109 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.