FCH District Glen Allen VA Event presented by Porvair Filtration

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

280.33 – 182.05

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

309 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.1 ±9.3

619Cavalier Robotics

Season APEX 200.8Event APEX 119.75Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5724Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 29.69Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 130.89Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 565.1 ±9.3

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 75.31Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 77.41Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11425Byteforge

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 29.33Rank 28Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 619, 5724, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 619, 5724, 2106

Auto

51.0 19%

Teleop

159.1 58%

Endgame

65.1 24%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 401, 346, 11425

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 401, 346, 11425

Auto

26.3 15%

Teleop

110.8 62%

Endgame

42.3 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score280.3pts

Blue projected score182.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.3
Score range: 163–299
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 473 vs event baseline 108.1.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.1Season APEX565.1

51Auto26.3

159.1Teleop110.8

65.1Endgame42.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	31
teleop	195	94
endgame	41	39
foul	5	0
total	309	164

Result

Final score

309 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 pts

Match videos

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