Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
135.48 – 114.97
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
139 – 209
Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 129.5Event APEX 83.38Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 29.7Event APEX 5.68Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51Event APEX 46.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 231.2Event APEX 94.99Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 13.65Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 21.1Event APEX 6.33Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10224, 3359, 539
64
/ 100 compatProjected
135.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10224, 3359, 539
Auto
27.9 21%
Teleop
72.7 56%
Endgame
29.2 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 422, 11252, 1793
58
/ 100 compatProjected
115 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 422, 11252, 1793
Auto
18.4 16%
Teleop
70.4 61%
Endgame
26.0 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score135.5pts
Blue projected score115pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 20.5
- Score range
- 89–161
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
210.2Season APEX279.6
27.9Auto18.4
72.7Teleop70.4
29.2Endgame26
74Consistency124
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 61 |
| teleop | 52 | 124 |
| endgame | 51 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 209 |
Result
Final score
139 – 209
Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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