FCH District Chesapeake VA Event presented by Newport News Ship Yard / Hampton Roads Community Foundation (Norfolk Southern)

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.53 – 138.31

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.4 ±11.6

11425Byteforge

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 30.84Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1599CircuiTree

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 45.33Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 5.36Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.3 ±11.6

2363Triple Helix Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 72.68Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6326⚡ Baltimore Bolts ⚡

Season APEX 37.4Event APEX 0.69Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 64.94Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11425, 1599, 2998

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11425, 1599, 2998

Auto

26.5 34%

Teleop

18.6 24%

Endgame

32.5 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2363, 6326, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2363, 6326, 1086

Auto

21.9 16%

Teleop

75.3 55%

Endgame

38.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.5pts

Blue projected score138.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.8
Score range: 57–163
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.4Season APEX246.3

26.5Auto21.9

18.6Teleop75.3

32.5Endgame38.7

132Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	44
teleop	56	125
endgame	42	50
foul	5	5
total	128	224

Result

Final score

128 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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