FCH District Chesapeake VA Event presented by Newport News Ship Yard / Hampton Roads Community Foundation (Norfolk Southern)

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.59 – 77.86

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 503 ±9.9

422The Mech Tech Dragons

Season APEX 231.2Event APEX 111.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 72.98Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8230KoiBots

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 52.66Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 123.1 ±13.3

9214Honking Narwhals

Season APEX 30.8Event APEX 8.54Rank 28Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

526Saxon Sparks

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 65.65Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX 3.67Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 422, 1908, 8230

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 422, 1908, 8230

Auto

26.5 11%

Teleop

153.0 66%

Endgame

51.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9214, 526, 4286

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9214, 526, 4286

Auto

4.9 7%

Teleop

57.6 79%

Endgame

10.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score237.6pts

Blue projected score77.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159.7
Score range: 53–263
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 137.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

503Season APEX123.1

26.5Auto4.9

153Teleop57.6

51.7Endgame10

73Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	16
teleop	99	34
endgame	7	36
foul	0	0
total	155	86

Result

Final score

155 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.