FCH District Chesapeake VA Event presented by Newport News Ship Yard / Hampton Roads Community Foundation (Norfolk Southern)

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.44 – 159.14

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.2 ±12.8

112521st ACT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 23.45Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 60.69Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4286Imperial Robotics

Season APEX 12.6Event APEX -11.7Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.4 ±11.1

2363Triple Helix Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 78.45Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4099The Falcons

Season APEX 261.4Event APEX 75.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 5.28Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11252, 620, 4286

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11252, 620, 4286

Auto

10.5 15%

Teleop

30.4 43%

Endgame

29.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2363, 4099, 611

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2363, 4099, 611

Auto

40.7 26%

Teleop

85.9 54%

Endgame

31.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.4pts

Blue projected score159.1pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -86.7
Score range: 47–184
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 138.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.2Season APEX379.4

10.5Auto40.7

30.4Teleop85.9

29.1Endgame31.8

146Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	48
teleop	65	133
endgame	27	69
foul	0	0
total	109	250

Result

Final score

109 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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