FCH District Chesapeake VA Event presented by Newport News Ship Yard / Hampton Roads Community Foundation (Norfolk Southern)

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

57.41 – 4.85

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.3 ±11.7

1908ShoreBots

Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 67.3Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2998VikingBots

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -9.37Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9214Honking Narwhals

Season APEX 30.8Event APEX -0.52Rank 28Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.1 ±12.8

3359Royal Robotics

Season APEX 29.7Event APEX -34.03Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9403Starstuff

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX -14.84Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 53.72Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1908, 2998, 9214

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1908, 2998, 9214

Auto

6.6 12%

Teleop

31.0 56%

Endgame

17.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3359, 9403, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3359, 9403, 620

Auto

15.0 100%

Teleop

-17.8 0%

Endgame

11.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.4pts

Blue projected score4.8pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.6
Score range: -19–81
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 135.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.3Season APEX166.1

6.6Auto15

31Teleop-17.8

17.6Endgame11

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	21
teleop	34	43
endgame	21	23
foul	10	0
total	79	87

Result

Final score

79 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.