Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
117.35 – 130.64
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
178 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 32.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 27.1Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 15.46Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 74.79Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 59.41Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX 24.47Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 46.76Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1599, 2028, 8230
64
/ 100 compatProjected
117.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1599, 2028, 8230
Auto
27.4 22%
Teleop
69.9 57%
Endgame
25.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 526, 611, 11415
67
/ 100 compatProjected
130.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 526, 611, 11415
Auto
20.5 16%
Teleop
76.9 58%
Endgame
34.3 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score117.4pts
Blue projected score130.6pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -13.3
- Score range
- 93–155
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
233.1Season APEX312.2
27.4Auto20.5
69.9Teleop76.9
25Endgame34.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 8 |
| teleop | 122 | 96 |
| endgame | 43 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 178 | 127 |
Result
Final score
178 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 32.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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