Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
216.15 – 136.14
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
102 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 78.6 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 101.5Event APEX 61.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 41.01Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 114Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 34.08Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 41.01Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 61.05Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 977, 11252, 5804
73
/ 100 compatProjected
216.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 977, 11252, 5804
Auto
25.3 12%
Teleop
119.4 56%
Endgame
67.4 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 617, 4456, 10004
57
/ 100 compatProjected
136.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 617, 4456, 10004
Auto
22.3 17%
Teleop
65.2 49%
Endgame
46.8 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score216.2pts
Blue projected score136.1pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80
- Score range
- 103–249
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.2Season APEX245.1
25.3Auto22.3
119.4Teleop65.2
67.4Endgame46.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 9 |
| teleop | 50 | 65 |
| endgame | 21 | 19 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 102 | 93 |
Result
Final score
102 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 78.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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