FCH District Blacksburg VA Event presented by Ball

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.3 – 154.64

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440.5 ±10.5

3361Governators

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX -2.66Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3072Backwoods Bots

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 36.67Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 197.29Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.2 ±11.6

10004SCAROB (Star City Area Robotics)

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 37.92Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1885Comet Robotics

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 34.13Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5115Knight Riders

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 82.59Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3361, 3072, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3361, 3072, 2106

Auto

58.1 25%

Teleop

128.5 56%

Endgame

44.2 19%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10004, 1885, 5115

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10004, 1885, 5115

Auto

20.7 13%

Teleop

89.7 58%

Endgame

44.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.3pts

Blue projected score154.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.7
Score range: 121–265
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 190.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440.5Season APEX238.2

58.1Auto20.7

128.5Teleop89.7

44.2Endgame44.7

64Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	35
teleop	165	123
endgame	66	54
foul	0	0
total	287	212

Result

Final score

287 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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