FCH District Blacksburg VA Event presented by Ball

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.48 – 350.68

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±12.2

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 108.36Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6802Snot Otters

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX -12.4Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

617Enginerds

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 9.52Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 596.2 ±10.7

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 187.98Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

401Copperhead Robotics

Season APEX 210Event APEX 101.4Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10257Vector Space

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 61.3Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1262, 6802, 617

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1262, 6802, 617

Auto

27.0 28%

Teleop

53.8 56%

Endgame

14.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2106, 401, 10257

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.7 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2106, 401, 10257

Auto

74.9 22%

Teleop

199.8 58%

Endgame

68.5 20%

Strengths

· 2106 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.5pts

Blue projected score350.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245.2
Score range: 72–384
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 183.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX596.2

27Auto74.9

53.8Teleop199.8

14.5Endgame68.5

85Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	90
teleop	68	216
endgame	41	81
foul	0	25
total	131	412

Result

Final score

131 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 43.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.