Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
394.21 – 245.05
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
279 – 296
Prediction missed · off by 83.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 601 ±9.3
Season APEX 231.2Event APEX 169.33Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 11.23Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 213.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 200.5Event APEX 86.36Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210Event APEX 114.4Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 44.29Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 422, 3361, 2106
81
/ 100 compatProjected
394.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 422, 3361, 2106
Auto
81.0 21%
Teleop
226.0 58%
Endgame
83.1 21%
Strengths
- · 2106 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 540, 401, 3258
73
/ 100 compatProjected
245.1 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 540, 401, 3258
Auto
44.4 19%
Teleop
140.7 60%
Endgame
50.0 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score394.2pts
Blue projected score245.1pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 149.2
- Score range
- 208–431
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
601Season APEX485.2
81Auto44.4
226Teleop140.7
83.1Endgame50
15Consistency93
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 73 | 61 |
| teleop | 122 | 108 |
| endgame | 79 | 117 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 279 | 296 |
Result
Final score
279 – 296
Prediction missed · off by 83.1 pts
Match videos
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