Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
234.97 – 145.18
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
339 – 196
Prediction correct · off by 77.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 109.67Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.8Event APEX 28.27Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 97.03Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448 ±10.5
Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 62.57Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 61.03Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 21.58Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9072, 2068, 1908
80
/ 100 compatProjected
235 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9072, 2068, 1908
Auto
52.2 23%
Teleop
138.1 60%
Endgame
38.3 17%
Strengths
- · 9072 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4472, 449, 8230
76
/ 100 compatProjected
145.2 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 4472, 449, 8230
Auto
18.9 13%
Teleop
81.5 58%
Endgame
40.5 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score235pts
Blue projected score145.2pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 89.8
- Score range
- 126–254
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
578.4Season APEX448
52.2Auto18.9
138.1Teleop81.5
38.3Endgame40.5
0Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 25 |
| teleop | 203 | 100 |
| endgame | 26 | 71 |
| foul | 50 | 0 |
| total | 339 | 196 |
Result
Final score
339 – 196
Prediction correct · off by 77.4 pts
Match videos
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