FCH District Alexandria VA Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.12 – 69

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.7 ±11.7

612Chantilly Robotics

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 32.28Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2186Dogs of Steel

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 17.39Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 63.45Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.2 ±13.3

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 40.8Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2963AnaDroids

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -1.49Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2028Phantom Robotics

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 29.69Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 612, 2186, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 612, 2186, 5338

Auto

25.7 24%

Teleop

61.1 56%

Endgame

22.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5353, 2963, 2028

/ 100 compat

Projected

69 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5353, 2963, 2028

Auto

15.9 24%

Teleop

41.7 62%

Endgame

9.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.1pts

Blue projected score69pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.1
Score range: 51–131
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 97.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.7Season APEX232.2

25.7Auto15.9

61.1Teleop41.7

22.3Endgame9.9

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	12
teleop	75	24
endgame	19	22
foul	0	15
total	124	73

Result

Final score

124 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.