Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.18 – 24.9
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
7 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 9.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 29.7Event APEX -Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 4.57Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35Event APEX 6.29Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3359, 611, 2028
48
/ 100 compatProjected
23.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3359, 611, 2028
Auto
6.4 28%
Teleop
11.0 48%
Endgame
5.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3373, 620, 10449
48
/ 100 compatProjected
24.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3373, 620, 10449
Auto
7.3 29%
Teleop
12.4 50%
Endgame
5.2 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.2pts
Blue projected score24.9pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 27%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -1.7
- Score range
- 13–35
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
195.8Season APEX184.9
0.9Auto1.7
1.7Teleop3.1
2Endgame1.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 0 |
| teleop | 7 | 14 |
| endgame | 0 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 7 | 27 |
Result
Final score
7 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 9.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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