Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
76.53 – 94.93
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
98 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 12.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 36.78Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 31.32Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53Event APEX 8.43Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 93.1Event APEX 36.96Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 21.1Event APEX 2.64Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 55.33Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5353, 6882, 4638
55
/ 100 compatProjected
76.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5353, 6882, 4638
Auto
20.8 32%
Teleop
30.3 46%
Endgame
14.6 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1895, 1793, 4472
62
/ 100 compatProjected
94.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1895, 1793, 4472
Auto
17.1 18%
Teleop
47.8 52%
Endgame
27.7 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.5pts
Blue projected score94.9pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -18.4
- Score range
- 60–112
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
197.4Season APEX226.4
20.8Auto17.1
30.3Teleop47.8
14.6Endgame27.7
40Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 26 |
| teleop | 54 | 45 |
| endgame | 16 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 98 | 92 |
Result
Final score
98 – 92
Prediction missed · off by 12.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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