FCH District Alexandria VA Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

67.68 – 66.65

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.5 ±11.6

122NASA Knights

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 3.39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 42.85Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8230KoiBots

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 21.44Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.8 ±10.5

2363Triple Helix Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 3.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4638Jagbots

Season APEX 53Event APEX 24.51Rank 11Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 38.29Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 122, 611, 8230

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 122, 611, 8230

Auto

17.1 27%

Teleop

31.7 50%

Endgame

14.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2363, 4638, 1731

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2363, 4638, 1731

Auto

13.3 26%

Teleop

20.2 39%

Endgame

18.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.7pts

Blue projected score66.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1
Score range: 54–81
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 74.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.5Season APEX358.8

17.1Auto13.3

31.7Teleop20.2

14.8Endgame18.5

93Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	9
teleop	23	51
endgame	5	14
foul	15	25
total	50	99

Result

Final score

50 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.