Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
70.57 – 0.28
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 72
Prediction missed · off by 49.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.4 ±12.1
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 23.99Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX 38.42Rank 17Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 8.16Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 0.51Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 7.98Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.7Event APEX -8.21Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6882, 611, 3373
70
/ 100 compatProjected
70.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6882, 611, 3373
Auto
12.0 21%
Teleop
31.6 54%
Endgame
14.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 449, 2377, 5587
8
/ 100 compatProjected
0.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 449, 2377, 5587
Auto
1.0 0%
Teleop
-4.5 100%
Endgame
3.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score70.6pts
Blue projected score0.3pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 70.3
- Score range
- -13–84
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
164.4Season APEX483.3
12Auto1
31.6Teleop-4.5
14.7Endgame3.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 13 |
| teleop | 21 | 50 |
| endgame | 12 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 43 | 72 |
Result
Final score
43 – 72
Prediction missed · off by 49.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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