FCH District Alexandria VA Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.41 – 91.09

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 58.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±11.6

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 11.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

116Epsilon Delta

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 6.34Rank 40Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5243Aegis

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 19.11Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.5 ±10.5

4099The Falcons

Season APEX 261.4Event APEX 41.49Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8230KoiBots

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 17.11Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4472SuperNOVA

Season APEX 112.2Event APEX 32.49Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5353, 116, 5243

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5353, 116, 5243

Auto

1.2 3%

Teleop

36.3 87%

Endgame

4.3 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4099, 8230, 4472

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4099, 8230, 4472

Auto

31.2 38%

Teleop

38.5 47%

Endgame

12.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.4pts

Blue projected score91.1pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.7
Score range: 25–103
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 65.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.5Season APEX414.5

1.2Auto31.2

36.3Teleop38.5

4.3Endgame12.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	32
teleop	37	87
endgame	23	39
foul	5	0
total	88	158

Result

Final score

88 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 58.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.