Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
73.24 – 42.81
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
145 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 7.3Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 230.9Event APEX 33.2Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 32.74Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 51Event APEX 13.36Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 123.8Event APEX 30.28Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -0.83Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3258, 1908, 612
72
/ 100 compatProjected
73.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3258, 1908, 612
Auto
24.1 33%
Teleop
41.4 56%
Endgame
7.9 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 539, 3136, 2963
56
/ 100 compatProjected
42.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 539, 3136, 2963
Auto
7.5 17%
Teleop
24.6 56%
Endgame
12.0 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.2pts
Blue projected score42.8pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample192alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 30.4
- Score range
- 32–84
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
351.2Season APEX208.3
24.1Auto7.5
41.4Teleop24.6
7.9Endgame12
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 22 |
| teleop | 73 | 15 |
| endgame | 58 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 145 | 58 |
Result
Final score
145 – 58
Prediction correct · off by 43.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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