FCH District Alexandria VA Event presented by Qualcomm

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

11.77 – 6.66

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

48 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.3 ±11.6

5353LoCo Raptors

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 20.93Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

539Titan Robotics

Season APEX 51Event APEX 4.05Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5587Titan Robotics

Season APEX 93.7Event APEX -13.21Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102.9 ±12.7

8230KoiBots

Season APEX 40.9Event APEX 5.45Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2534Lumberjack Robotics

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 0.77Rank 39Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3359Royal Robotics

Season APEX 29.7Event APEX 0.44Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5353, 539, 5587

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5353, 539, 5587

Auto

10.2 100%

Teleop

-9.5 0%

Endgame

3.8 84%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8230, 2534, 3359

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8230, 2534, 3359

Auto

0.5 7%

Teleop

3.4 47%

Endgame

3.3 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.8pts

Blue projected score6.7pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample192alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.1
Score range: -4–23
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 80 vs event baseline 60.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.3Season APEX102.9

10.2Auto0.5

-9.5Teleop3.4

3.8Endgame3.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	8
teleop	20	9
endgame	15	0
foul	0	15
total	48	32

Result

Final score

48 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.