Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

512.49 – 237.23

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

420 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 601.4 ±11

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 235.01Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5071Charger Robotics

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 45.23Rank 37Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 232.25Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.8 ±12.2

4550Something's Bruin

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 16.43Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 110.89Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 109.91Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 359, 5071, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

512.5 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 5071, 7426

Auto

91.3 18%

Teleop

309.3 61%

Endgame

109.2 21%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4550, 3245, 6487

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.2 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4550, 3245, 6487

Auto

33.0 14%

Teleop

152.8 65%

Endgame

48.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score512.5pts

Blue projected score237.2pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 275.3
Score range: 201–548
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 613 vs event baseline 199.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

601.4Season APEX446.8

91.3Auto33

309.3Teleop152.8

109.2Endgame48.8

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	20
teleop	281	131
endgame	37	27
foul	0	15
total	420	193

Result

Final score

420 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 68.4 pts

Match videos

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