Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.46 – 83.46

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.6 ±13.3

1891Bullbots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -Rank 22Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.8 ±16.5

9138Robo Hawks

Provisional

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX -Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1708AMP'D Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX -Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1891, 8885, 4175

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1891, 8885, 4175

Auto

25.0 30%

Teleop

41.7 50%

Endgame

16.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9138, 1708, 10933

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9138, 1708, 10933

Auto

25.0 30%

Teleop

41.7 50%

Endgame

16.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score83.5pts

Blue projected score83.5pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 53–113
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 166.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.6Season APEX146.8

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	14
teleop	71	57
endgame	4	9
foul	15	0
total	120	80

Result

Final score

120 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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