Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.54 – 296.59

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229 ±14.5

11100Team Epsilon

Season APEX 68.2Event APEX 16.52Rank 41Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 83.87Rank 22Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1569Haywire Robotics

Season APEX 82Event APEX 14.15Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.9 ±12.7

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 29.01Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 229.87Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5071Charger Robotics

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 37.71Rank 37Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11100, 4175, 1569

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 11100, 4175, 1569

Auto

19.9 18%

Teleop

69.5 62%

Endgame

23.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2594, 359, 5071

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2594, 359, 5071

Auto

57.8 20%

Teleop

191.1 64%

Endgame

47.5 16%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score114.5pts

Blue projected score296.6pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182
Score range: 80–332
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 576 vs event baseline 192.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229Season APEX384.9

19.9Auto57.8

69.5Teleop191.1

23.5Endgame47.5

47Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	81
teleop	93	191
endgame	84	81
foul	0	0
total	223	353

Result

Final score

223 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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