Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.53 – 166.07

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.5 ±13.9

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 28Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3288Punchers

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 30.51Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 62.02Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.2 ±15.6

3166Rooks

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 30.07Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 106.63Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 29.37Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10034, 3288, 3424

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10034, 3288, 3424

Auto

18.9 16%

Teleop

70.0 58%

Endgame

31.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3166, 3243, 7895

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3166, 3243, 7895

Auto

22.1 13%

Teleop

86.0 51%

Endgame

59.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.5pts

Blue projected score166.1pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.5
Score range: 86–201
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 192.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.5Season APEX309.2

18.9Auto22.1

70Teleop86

31.3Endgame59.8

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	33
teleop	92	143
endgame	29	54
foul	0	0
total	142	230

Result

Final score

142 – 230

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.