Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.85 – 197.72

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.5 ±16.5

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX -6.91Rank 40Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

74368-Bit Miners

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 21.09Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1708AMP'D Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 86.67Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±13.9

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 94.19Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 95.86Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 7.67Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8805, 7436, 1708

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8805, 7436, 1708

Auto

10.0 11%

Teleop

54.7 58%

Endgame

29.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10988, 6487, 7755

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10988, 6487, 7755

Auto

34.5 17%

Teleop

152.7 77%

Endgame

11.3 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score100.9pts

Blue projected score197.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.9
Score range: 66–233
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 192.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.5Season APEX449.1

10Auto34.5

54.7Teleop152.7

29.5Endgame11.3

84Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	52
teleop	43	165
endgame	50	72
foul	0	0
total	113	289

Result

Final score

113 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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