Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

466.45 – 413.54

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

629 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 102 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722.9 ±13.5

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 168.93Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8839Shoshone Robotics

Season APEX 156.5Event APEX 106.27Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 191.25Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505.2 ±11.7

9726Notus Pirates

Season APEX 161.1Event APEX 161.06Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 238.2Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 14.28Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2122, 8839, 3006

/ 100 compat

Projected

466.5 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 8839, 3006

Auto

95.5 21%

Teleop

269.9 59%

Endgame

95.2 21%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9726, 7426, 4585

/ 100 compat

Projected

413.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9726, 7426, 4585

Auto

66.6 16%

Teleop

236.4 59%

Endgame

100.8 25%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score466.5pts

Blue projected score413.5pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.9
Score range: 380–500
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1001 vs event baseline 187.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722.9Season APEX505.2

95.5Auto66.6

269.9Teleop236.4

95.2Endgame100.8

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	78
teleop	387	189
endgame	106	105
foul	0	0
total	629	372

Result

Final score

629 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 102 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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