Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.65 – 349.45

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±15.8

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 37.1Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10256Team Scrap Metal

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 60.52Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 31.03Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 534.6 ±12.9

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 20.55Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 92

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 179.15Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9726Notus Pirates

Season APEX 161.1Event APEX 149.75Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7895, 10256, 2594

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7895, 10256, 2594

Auto

15.8 12%

Teleop

78.2 61%

Endgame

34.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7755, 7183, 9726

/ 100 compat

Projected

349.5 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7755, 7183, 9726

Auto

52.8 16%

Teleop

216.0 64%

Endgame

71.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score128.7pts

Blue projected score349.5pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -220.8
Score range: 91–387
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 429 vs event baseline 210.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.2Season APEX534.6

15.8Auto52.8

78.2Teleop216

34.7Endgame71.1

17Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	42
teleop	47	237
endgame	34	53
foul	0	5
total	92	337

Result

Final score

92 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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