Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
525.11 – 88.64
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
537 – 15
Prediction correct · off by 42.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 755.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 187.53Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194Event APEX 98.89Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 238.69Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.5 ±14.5
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 34.76Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 13.04Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 40.84Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3006, 3245, 7426
80
/ 100 compatProjected
525.1 pts
~2.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 3006, 3245, 7426
Auto
86.5 17%
Teleop
306.4 60%
Endgame
119.2 23%
Strengths
- · 7426 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7895, 4550, 10034
42
/ 100 compatProjected
88.6 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 7895, 4550, 10034
Auto
23.5 24%
Teleop
45.8 47%
Endgame
27.9 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score525.1pts
Blue projected score88.6pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 436.5
- Score range
- 55–559
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
755.8Season APEX356.5
86.5Auto23.5
306.4Teleop45.8
119.2Endgame27.9
26Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 13 |
| teleop | 368 | 2 |
| endgame | 90 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 537 | 15 |
Result
Final score
537 – 15
Prediction correct · off by 42.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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