Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260.68 – 192.46

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592 ±13.5

1566AMMOKNIGHTS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 20.28Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 209.69Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 30.71Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.1 ±15.3

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 11.28Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 4.77Rank 40Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 176.41Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1566, 3006, 10034

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1566, 3006, 10034

Auto

52.6 21%

Teleop

155.0 61%

Endgame

45.1 18%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2972, 8805, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2972, 8805, 2122

Auto

64.7 35%

Teleop

79.6 43%

Endgame

40.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score260.7pts

Blue projected score192.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.2
Score range: 154–299
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 430 vs event baseline 210.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592Season APEX432.1

52.6Auto64.7

155Teleop79.6

45.1Endgame40.1

12Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	47
teleop	132	78
endgame	41	47
foul	5	30
total	228	202

Result

Final score

228 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.